Happy Wednesday!

Bitcoin bears are warning about a bear market pattern repeating, but K33 Research says the fear is not warranted: here’s why they say it’s different this time.

Nvidia reports earnings today after the bell and prediction markets are previewing it: what will Jensen Huang say today?

Plus, Chris Capre is hosting a live session immediately after NVIDIA earnings today to break down what the reaction means for AI stocks, semis, volatility, and short-term momentum trades. He’ll also show the exact setups and positioning signals he’s watching once the numbers hit.

Join The Free Live Session

TOP STORY

Bitcoin Bears Say BTC Is Repeating The 2022 Pattern — K33 Research Says They're Dead Wrong

Bitcoin is down 6% from its 200-day moving average retest near $82,000 — and K33 Research says the selloff is noise, not a new leg lower.

K33 Head of Research Vetle Lunde argues February's $60,000 low marks this cycle's maximum drawdown, pointing to a setup that looks nothing like 2014, 2018, or 2022:

Bitcoin spent 189 days between its November 200-day MA breakdown and May retest versus 85-132 days in prior cycles, the 200-day MA is trending lower rather than higher, and critically — the slow grind never rebuilt the leverage and risk appetite that fueled the next leg down in past bear markets.

Institutional players cut exposure by 26,733 BTC in Q1 while retail added 19,395 BTC, with delta-neutral firms like Millennium and Jane Street driving most of the institutional reduction.

SPECIAL OFFER

These AI And Semiconductor Stocks Are Waiting On NVIDIA

Right now, traders are crowding into the same AI names: NVDA, AMD, SMCI, and GOOGL. At the same time, volatility has quietly collapsed underneath the surface while semiconductor momentum continues driving this market higher.

Chris Capre is hosting a live session immediately after NVIDIA earnings today to break down what the reaction means for AI stocks, semis, volatility, and short-term momentum trades. He’ll also show the exact setups and positioning signals he’s watching once the numbers hit.

QUICK N DIRTY

Bitcoin is going to zero. We’ve heard that before, haven’t we? Here’s who is the latest Bitcoin bear to board the train of doubters.

Michael Burry is no fan of crypto-based stocks: he says they will make the ‘cyber-punk’ future only worse.

Bitcoin just can’t get over the crucial $77,000 mark at the moment. Here’s why that is such a big mark for BTC.

FINTECH FOCUS

Nvidia Earnings Prediction Market Preview: What Will Jensen Huang Say?

Nvidia reports fiscal Q1 2027 earnings after the bell tonight with Polymarket giving it a 95% chance of beating the $1.77 non-GAAP EPS consensus — 13 straight quarters of beats will do that.

But the real trade is on Kalshi, where traders are betting Jensen Huang talks self-driving (82%), TSMC (80%), and Cosmos robotics (74%) while staying conspicuously quiet on China's H20 chip (35%) and Trump (37%) despite sharing Air Force One with the president last week.

Q2 consensus already sits near $86.6 billion, and the guide has sunk the stock on four of the last five reports even on clean beats — tonight the whisper number matters more than the print.

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